Comprehending the chances of winning the lottery, and a little advice to those who do choose to participate in the games.
What are the chances of winning the lottery game? Beyond talking about numbers, I am trying to explain chance in a way easy to understand. We all know it is very hard to win the big pot in lottery games. But still people do it. Some want luck to knock at their door one day, and it sure will not happen to those who do not participate and do not give it a chance.
But how rare is it? Statistics and numbers are not always easy to follow and comprehend. The chance of winning a game of 6 out of 37 numbers, is 1 out of 2,324,784 different sequences.
But here is a better way of understanding just how rare and almost impossible winning is:
First you will have to agree with the saying that all numbers stand the same chance of winning, and one outcome does not influence the other. It is the same as throwing a dice - it does not matter which numbers came out at every throw. Past outcomes can not predict the future ones.
Now, think of lucky numbers, as if filling a lottery form which you are about to pay for. What chance do you think you might have of winning a big prize of thousands of dollars? Even if not much of a chance, there is some hope of winning. It seems like it might just happen.
Now given following numbers from 1 to 6 (depending on how many there are in a game), what are the odds of that to happen? It sounds very unlikely that such a sequence of numbers will win. That is the exact winning chance the lucky numbers chosen before have. Very rare and unlikely to win the big pot.
Another example is choosing the exact same numbers that won the last lottery game. It is very rare as well. If that happens, people might think there is some kind of fraud going on, or some manipulation of the game. But the truth is, all sets of numbers have the exact same chance of winning. It only shows how small that chance is.
The only way of increasing the chance of winning, is by filling as many rows as possible in one game. But that also means losing money on the lottery tickets. That is why groups of people stand more chance, by playing together. They share the expenses, but also share the prize. Those groups should be of no more than 100 people, in order to give the winning prize some significance, when dividing it among all the members of the group.
But even when shooting 100 rows in a game, chances are still very low. As close as choosing different sequences of numbers, 1-6, 2-7, 3-8 and so on, with sets that seem unlikely to win, 100 times. Think of all the other 2,324,684 different combinations, in a game of 6 out of 37 numbers.
People who want to try their luck, just for fun, in the same game - can guess the numbers without actually paying to participate. Chances are they would be relieved to see they got it wrong and won nothing. Those who still find it hard accepting the fact that they are not going to win a big prize and more likely to lose, should try filling online forms on the lottery sites, and see the results that were already chosen throughout the years.
Those who do insist on playing, should consider choosing numbers not by statistics of which ones have won in the past, but of the numbers less chosen by people. Numbers that are not considered lucky or do not stand for dates - will make it less likely for someone else to chose the same sequence, thus being the only one winning without sharing the prize.
It is also better placing all bets at once, rather than taking them one at a time, that way increasing the chance of winning. Understanding this is important - advising the people who choose to play, to spend the same amount of money they had been willing to take all at once, with buying as many rows as possible, preferably on a game that offers a big prise.
In order to understand odds of winning, imagine the game is a maze and the prize is a lost child that you must find. Time is critical because you only live a number of years and not 6,369 years - as would take with all the different options, if choosing one entrance every day, considering they do not shuffle.
So there are 2,324,783 entrances of a dead end, plus one light at the end of the tunnel.
Having 2,324,784 people help you all at once – you will win for sure, and find that lost child.
Having half the amount, will make it more likely finding him, if you send them in all together, instead of one by one, each day. Considering it to be a magical maze, that changes entrances every day, it would seem impossible. That means, entrances that had been checked could be the right ones the next day...
The same thing goes with your bettings of a much smaller amount. Combining your shots together stands better chance. No doubt about that!
When participating with a group of people over a period of time, it is also better taking all bets at once. That means, instead of shooting 100 rows in one go - one for each person of the group, take all the bets you are prepared to make, let us say over a year - and place them all at once. That way there might be a real chance of winning something.
I do not know of groups who would agree to that, or of any company who thinks that way. Most companies which make group games will follow their customer's willing to pay. It might sound risky – placing your bets all at once, and it might not be so much fun, because the betting ends all in one go, and people like excitement. But following the rules of a real chance of winning - that is a wise step, not yet known to be taken. Because who wants to say goodbye to so much money all at once? Losing it over a period of time is less painful or noticeable.
As a conclusion, the best way of winning those lottery games is by keeping the money and not participating at all, but spending it on other things that have value, or putting it as a bank saving.